WWayfair Inc.

$105.70+18% 1Y

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain, heavy debt (BB), and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

1 good, 1 flagged, 2 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality6 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$30.6M

Insiders were net sellers (-$30.6M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Moderately leveraged. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk73% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -93% · now 11% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 87% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 8% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can W take a bad year?

Wayfair Inc. carries $1.69B of net debt at 3.44× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$1.69B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business

Net debt / EBITDA
3.44×

Net debt / EBITDA · 35.4× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
2.82

Altman Z-score · grey zone, between 1.8 and 3

Annualised volatility
73%

Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$2.84B
Cash and short-term investments
$1.14B
Net debt
$1.69B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$492M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$215M
Total debt / EBITDA
5.76×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
73%
Worst drawdown on file
−93%
Below its 52-week high
11%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.