TSCOTractor Supply
Is the price fair?
The yardsticks disagree: cheap against its own 5-year P/E range (5th percentile) but the cash-flow math implies demanding growth. Treat as fair, not cheap.
Priced for ~18% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 2% a year, priced for acceleration.
Cheap vs its own history: P/E 15.7 vs a 20.6 median over 40 quarters (−24% vs median).
Sector median 16.2× across 156 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 27, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What TSCO's price assumes
Today's price asks for 18% free cash flow growth a year; over the last three years Tractor Supply delivered −22%, the price is ahead of the record.
Price / sales · no trailing P/E on file: measured against sales instead
- Free cash flow yield
- 1.9%
Free cash flow yield · Specialty Retail median 5.8%
- Growth the price implies
- +18%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +18% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −22% a year over the last three.
- Price / book
- 6.03
Price / book · today's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
- 6.03
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
- 13.3
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
- 1.13
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $307M
- Market capitalisation
- $15.9B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +2.2%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- −22%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $35.55 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $39.50 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $46.79 |
| 52-week range | $29.14 – $58.66 |
| Today | $33.71 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
Specialty Retail
The closest names by size in the same industry