AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.
Is it safe?
Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain, heavy debt (CCC), and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.
Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Insiders were net sellers (-$3.5M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Highly leveraged, watch solvency. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -84% · now 27% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can AAL take a bad year?
American Airlines Group Inc. carries $20.9B of net debt at 7.20× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.
Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 7.20×
Net debt / EBITDA · 5.26× a year ago · the load is going up
- Altman Z-score
- 0.68
Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8
- Interest cover
- 0.61×
Interest cover · operating profit does not cover the interest bill
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $28.8B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $7.89B
- Net debt
- $20.9B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $2.91B
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $1.01B
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 9.91×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 52%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −84%
- Below its 52-week high
- 27%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.