SPSCSPS Commerce, Inc.

$84.53-21% 1Y

Is the price fair?

Excellent

Undemanding: modest expectations priced in, cheap against its own history, and cheap vs its sector.

3 good
What the price assumes~−3% a yearderived · Jun 30, 2026

Priced for a decline (~−3% a year). The price demands less than its three-year revenue growth of 16% a year, expectations look modest.

Vs its own P/E rangecheaper than 92% of its own historyderived

Cheap vs its own history: P/E 40.6 vs a 87.9 median over 38 quarters (−54% vs median).

Vs sector (EV/EBIT)16.0×derived · Dec 31, 2025

Sector median 30.5× across 203 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

P/E (valuation)behind 81% of the market
FCF yieldbetter than 84% of the market

Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.

What SPSC's price assumes

SPS Commerce, Inc. trades at 40.6× earnings against 33.9× for the median Software - Application name, more expensive than its own group.

40.6

Trailing P/E · Software - Application median 33.9 · 1.20× the median: the market pays up for this one

Price / sales
2.72

Price / sales · today's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025

Free cash flow yield
9.7%

Free cash flow yield · Software - Application median 6.9%

Growth the price implies
−3.2%

Growth the price implies · The price pays for −3.2% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +27% a year over the last three.

Details›
Price / booktoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
2.10
EV / EBITtoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
16.0
EV / salestoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
2.52
Technology median P/E459 names
37.7
Software - Application median P/E126 names
33.9
Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
$199M
Market capitalisation
$2.05B
3-year revenue growth
+16%
3-year free cash flow growth
+27%
SPSC has re-rated away from its own history, so multiplying the old multiple by today's earnings prices a full reversal, not the business
MethodPer share
What its own history would implynot meaningful, 40.6× today against a 87.9× median
52-week range$49.91 – $113.04
Today$84.53

Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.