MTCHMatch Group, Inc.
Is it safe?
Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain. Everything else is secondary until this clears.
Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Insiders were net sellers (-$867K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -84% · now 7% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can MTCH take a bad year?
Match Group, Inc. carries $2.97B of net debt at 2.84× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.
Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.84×
Net debt / EBITDA · 3.49× a year ago · the load is coming down
- Altman Z-score
- 0.71
Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8
- Interest cover
- 5.99×
Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $3.55B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $584M
- Net debt
- $2.97B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $1.04B
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $988M
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 3.40×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 36%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −84%
- Below its 52-week high
- 7.5%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
Internet Content & Information
Ranks #8 of 31 by RyuScore