GRALGRAIL, Inc.
Is it safe?
Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain, heavy debt (CCC), and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.
Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Insiders were net sellers (-$12.1M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -63% · now 9% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can GRAL take a bad year?
The deepest fall in GRAL's price history on file is −63%; it is 8.7% below its high today.
Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · distress zone, the model puts this in the bankruptcy range
- Cash runway
- 0.2 years
Cash runway · burning $74M a quarter at the current rate
- Annualised volatility
- 107%
Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing
- Worst drawdown on file
- −63%
Worst drawdown on file · −8.7% today
Details›
- Cash and short-term investments
- $56M
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- −$483M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$559M
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 107%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −63%
- Below its 52-week high
- 8.7%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
Diagnostics & Research
Ranks #15 of 21 by RyuScore