ADPTAdaptive Biotechnologies Corporation

$26.49+98% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet and clean books, but heavy debt (BB) and big price swings.

2 good, 2 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality5 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$38.6M

Insiders were net sellers (-$38.6M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk75% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -97% · now 11% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 87% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 4% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can ADPT take a bad year?

Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation holds $344M more cash than debt, and is burning $6.0M a quarter, about 14.3 years of cover.

$344M

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
3.70

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Cash runway
5+ years

Cash runway · burning $6.0M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$0
Cash and short-term investments
$344M
Net cash
$344M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$26M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$37M
Debt / equity
0.00×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
75%
Worst drawdown on file
−97%
Below its 52-week high
11%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.