BROSDutch Bros Inc.

$38.05-35% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet and insiders buying, but big price swings.

3 good, 1 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksGrey zone

Some accounting flags, worth a closer look Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality6 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$103K

Insiders were net buyers (+$103K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Credit gradeAAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash and profitable. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk60% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -70% · now 46% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 77% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can BROS take a bad year?

Dutch Bros Inc. holds $70M more cash than debt, so a bad year is a question about profits, not about lenders.

$70M

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
4.12

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Debt / equity
0.25×

Debt / equity

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$198M
Cash and short-term investments
$269M
Net cash
$70M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$300M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$180M
Debt / equity
0.25×
Total debt / EBITDA
0.66×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
60%
Worst drawdown on file
−70%
Below its 52-week high
46%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.