BHPBHP Group Limited

$86.73+70% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: insiders quiet, comfortable debt (AA), and typical volatility.

1 good, 2 neutral, 3 without data
Insider conviction-$315KSEC EDGAR · Oct 8, 2026

Insiders were net sellers (-$315K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAAderived · Jun 30, 2025

Rock-solid balance sheet, low leverage. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk32% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -44% · now 12% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can BHP take a bad year?

BHP Group Limited carries $9.09B of net debt at 0.36× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$9.09B

Net debt · as at FY2025 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
0.36×

Net debt / EBITDA · 0.21× a year ago · the load is going up

Interest cover
11.0×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Annualised volatility
32%

Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself

Details›
Total debtFY2025
$21.5B
Cash and short-term investments
$12.5B
Net debt
$9.09B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$25.0B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$19.5B
Debt / equity
0.45×
Total debt / EBITDA
0.86×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
32%
Worst drawdown on file
−44%
Below its 52-week high
12%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.