BHPBHP Group Limited

$86.73+70% 1Y

Is the price fair?

Mixed

Growth expectations in line with delivery. That is the only one of 3 checks this filer's data supports, so take it as a single data point rather than a settled answer.

3 without data
What the price assumes~+7% a yearderived · Jun 30, 2025

Priced for ~7% a year FCF growth. Moderate growth expectations are priced in.

Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.

What BHP's price assumes

BHP Group Limited trades at 48.9× earnings against 20.7× for the median Basic Materials name, more expensive than its own group.

48.9

Trailing P/E · Basic Materials median 20.7 · 2.36× the median: the market pays up for this one

Free cash flow yield
4.5%

Free cash flow yield · Basic Materials median 4.1%

Growth the price implies
+7.0%

Growth the price implies · The price pays for +7.0% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −29% a year over the last three.

Details›
Basic Materials median P/E203 names
20.7
Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
$9.29B
Market capitalisation
$206.2B
3-year revenue growth
−7.7%
3-year free cash flow growth
−29%

Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.