RIORio Tinto Group

$94.76+56% 1Y
Latest close: back above its 200-day averageOct 9, 2026what changed →

Is it safe?

Mixed

Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: comfortable debt (AA) and typical volatility.

1 good, 1 neutral, 4 without data
Credit gradeAAderived · Dec 31, 2025

Rock-solid balance sheet, low leverage. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk28% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -37% · now 15% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can RIO take a bad year?

Rio Tinto Group carries $12.5B of net debt at 0.80× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$12.5B

Net debt · as at FY2025 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
0.80×

Net debt / EBITDA · 0.22× a year ago · the load is going up

Interest cover
14.1×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Annualised volatility
28%

Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself

Details›
Total debtFY2025
$21.9B
Cash and short-term investments
$9.45B
Net debt
$12.5B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$15.5B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$14.9B
Debt / equity
0.35×
Total debt / EBITDA
1.41×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
28%
Worst drawdown on file
−37%
Below its 52-week high
15%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.