SWSmurfit Westrock

Basic Materials

$41.30-4.6% 1Y

$41.30

$32.1452 weeks$51.25

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: clean books and quality strong.

2 good, 3 neutral, 1 without data

SurvivalGrey zone

Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality7 / 9

High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Credit gradeAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk42% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -55% · now 19% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitymiddle of the market

Max drawdownbetter than 68% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can SW take a bad year?

Smurfit Westrock carries $13.5B of net debt at 3.20× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$13.5B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business

Net debt / EBITDA: 3.20×
Net debt / EBITDA · 3.74× a year ago · the load is coming down
Altman Z-score: 1.53
Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8
Interest cover: 1.75×
Interest cover · operating profit barely covers the interest bill