SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

$49.84-11% 1Y

Is the price fair?

Fair

Neither cheap nor expensive: modest expectations priced in and cheap vs its sector, but at the top of its own P/E range.

2 good, 1 to watch
What the price assumes~+2% a year

Priced for ~2% a year FCF growth. Little growth is priced in even as revenue fell 2% a year over three years, potential value, or a value trap.

Vs its own P/E rangedearer than 86% of its own historyderived

Expensive vs its own history: P/E 42.2 vs a 17.7 median over 29 quarters (+138% vs median).

Vs sector (EV/EBIT)16.0×

Sector median 18.9× across 51 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.

Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 27, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

P/E (valuation)behind 82% of the market
FCF yieldbetter than 66% of the market

Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.

What SMG's price assumes

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company trades at 42.2× earnings against 15.4× for the median Agricultural Inputs name, more expensive than its own group.

42.2

Trailing P/E · Agricultural Inputs median 15.4 · 2.73× the median: the market pays up for this one

Price / sales
1.16

Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026

Free cash flow yield
6.5%

Free cash flow yield · Agricultural Inputs median 7.0%

Growth the price implies
+2.1%

Growth the price implies · The price pays for +2.1% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −17% a year over the last three.

Details›
EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
16.0
EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
1.76
Basic Materials median P/E203 names
20.7
Agricultural Inputs median P/E8 names
15.4
Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
$263M
Market capitalisation
$4.03B
3-year revenue growth
−1.7%
3-year free cash flow growth
−17%
SMG has re-rated away from its own history, so multiplying the old multiple by today's earnings prices a full reversal, not the business
MethodPer share
What its own history would implynot meaningful, 42.2× today against a 17.7× median
52-week range$48.44 – $73.49
Today$49.84

Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.