SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
Is the price fair?
Neither cheap nor expensive: modest expectations priced in and cheap vs its sector, but at the top of its own P/E range.
Priced for ~2% a year FCF growth. Little growth is priced in even as revenue fell 2% a year over three years, potential value, or a value trap.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 42.2 vs a 17.7 median over 29 quarters (+138% vs median).
Sector median 18.9× across 51 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 27, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What SMG's price assumes
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company trades at 42.2× earnings against 15.4× for the median Agricultural Inputs name, more expensive than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Agricultural Inputs median 15.4 · 2.73× the median: the market pays up for this one
- Price / sales
- 1.16
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 6.5%
Free cash flow yield · Agricultural Inputs median 7.0%
- Growth the price implies
- +2.1%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +2.1% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −17% a year over the last three.
Details›
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
- 16.0
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 27, 2026
- 1.76
- Basic Materials median P/E203 names
- 20.7
- Agricultural Inputs median P/E8 names
- 15.4
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $263M
- Market capitalisation
- $4.03B
- 3-year revenue growth
- −1.7%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- −17%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| What its own history would imply | not meaningful, 42.2× today against a 17.7× median |
| 52-week range | $48.44 – $73.49 |
| Today | $49.84 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.