NTCTNetScout Systems, Inc.

$40.66+57% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: a safe balance sheet and clean books.

2 good, 3 neutral, 1 without data
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality6 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$813K

Insiders were net sellers (-$813K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Drawdown risk32% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -54% · now 7% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Mar 31, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 70% of the market
Max drawdownbetter than 70% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can NTCT take a bad year?

The deepest fall in NTCT's price history on file is −54%; it is 6.9% below its high today.

3.22

Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · safe zone, the balance sheet is not what threatens this one

Interest cover
76.0×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Annualised volatility
32%

Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself

Worst drawdown on file
−54%

Worst drawdown on file · −6.9% today

Details›
Cash and short-term investments
$629M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$183M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$131M
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
32%
Worst drawdown on file
−54%
Below its 52-week high
6.9%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.