NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.
Is the price fair?
Neither cheap nor expensive: nothing decisive, though priced for +11% a year vs +6% a year delivered.
Priced for ~11% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 6% a year, priced for acceleration.
In its normal range: P/E 14.6 vs a 14.6 median over 41 quarters (+0% vs median).
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What NGVC's price assumes
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. trades at 14.6× earnings against 18.1× for the median Grocery Stores name, cheaper than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Grocery Stores median 18.1 · cheaper than the typical name in its group
- Free cash flow yield
- 3.3%
Free cash flow yield · Grocery Stores median 7.2%
- Growth the price implies
- +11%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +11% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +27% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Consumer Defensive median P/E142 names
- 20.2
- Grocery Stores median P/E11 names
- 18.1
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $23M
- Market capitalisation
- $694M
- 3-year revenue growth
- +6.3%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- +27%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $24.78 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $30.11 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $37.64 |
| 52-week range | $23.45 – $40.08 |
| Today | $30.11 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.