GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.
Is the price fair?
A demanding price: priced for +27% a year vs +7% a year delivered and at the top of its own P/E range.
Priced for ~27% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 7% a year, priced for acceleration.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 157.9 vs a 43.1 median over 23 quarters (+266% vs median).
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What GO's price assumes
Today's price asks for 27% free cash flow growth a year; over the last three years Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. delivered −53%, the price is ahead of the record.
- Free cash flow yield
- 1.0%
Free cash flow yield · Grocery Stores median 7.2%
- Growth the price implies
- +27%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +27% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −53% a year over the last three.
Details›
- EV / EBIToperating margin −7.9%: the multiple describes the denominator
- not meaningful
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $12M
- Market capitalisation
- $1.18B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +7.4%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- −53%
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.