CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

$57.45+35% 1Y

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

1 good, 1 flagged, 1 to watch, 3 neutral
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality6 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$182K

Insiders were net sellers (-$182K, 90 days to Oct 9, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAderived · Jul 31, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk58% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -83% · now 3% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Aug 1, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 75% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 79% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can CBRL take a bad year?

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. carries $301M of net debt at 2.72× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$301M

Net debt · as at Q4 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business

Net debt / EBITDA
2.72×

Net debt / EBITDA · 2.51× a year ago · the load is going up

Altman Z-score
2.20

Altman Z-score · grey zone, between 1.8 and 3

Debt / equity
0.70×

Debt / equity

Details›
Total debtQ4 2026
$337M
Cash and short-term investments
$37M
Net debt
$301M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$111M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$12M
Debt / equity
0.70×
Total debt / EBITDA
3.05×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
58%
Worst drawdown on file
−83%
Below its 52-week high
2.8%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.