ZTOZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

$20.16+10% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: comfortable debt (AA) and typical volatility.

1 good, 1 neutral, 4 without data
Credit gradeAAderived · Dec 31, 2025

Net cash and profitable. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk32% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -57% · now 22% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can ZTO take a bad year?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. holds $14.7B more cash than debt, so a bad year is a question about profits, not about lenders.

$14.7B

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Interest cover
42.1×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Annualised volatility
32%

Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself

Details›
Total debtFY2025
$10.9B
Cash and short-term investments
$25.6B
Net cash
$14.7B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$13.9B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$10.5B
Debt / equity
0.17×
Total debt / EBITDA
0.79×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
32%
Worst drawdown on file
−57%
Below its 52-week high
22%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.