WFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
Is it safe?
Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: heavy debt (CCC) and typical volatility.
Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -79% · now 16% below its 52-week high.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can WFG take a bad year?
The deepest fall in WFG's price history on file is −79%; it is 16% below its high today.
Net debt · as at FY2025 · debt less the cash on hand, with no positive EBITDA to service it
- Cash runway
- 0.7 years
Cash runway · burning $79M a quarter at the current rate
- Annualised volatility
- 31%
Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself
- Worst drawdown on file
- −79%
Worst drawdown on file · −16% today
Details›
- Total debtFY2025
- $300M
- Cash and short-term investments
- $202M
- Net debt
- $98M
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- −$709M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$1.19B
- Debt / equity
- 0.05×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 31%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −79%
- Below its 52-week high
- 16%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.