VIAVia Transportation, Inc.

$32.40-35% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: a safe balance sheet and clean books, but heavy debt (CCC) and big price swings.

3 good, 2 to watch, 1 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality4 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$1.2M

Insiders were net buyers (+$1.2M, 90 days to Oct 9, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Credit gradeCCCderived · Jun 30, 2026

Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk69% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -75% · now 40% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 85% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 67% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can VIA take a bad year?

The deepest fall in VIA's price history on file is −75%; it is 40% below its high today.

6.04

Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · safe zone, the balance sheet is not what threatens this one

Cash runway
5+ years

Cash runway · burning $11M a quarter at the current rate

Annualised volatility
69%

Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing

Worst drawdown on file
−75%

Worst drawdown on file · −40% today

Details›
Cash and short-term investments
$336M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$85M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$89M
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
69%
Worst drawdown on file
−75%
Below its 52-week high
40%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.