SJMJ.M. Smucker Company (The)

$119.82+16% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: clean books.

1 good, 3 neutral, 2 without data
Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Insider conviction-$13.9M

Insiders were net sellers (-$13.9M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBBderived · Jul 31, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk29% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -38% · now 9% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Apr 30, 2026.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 78% of the market
Max drawdowntop 7% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can SJM take a bad year?

J.M. Smucker Company (The) carries $6.69B of net debt at 6.25× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$6.69B

Net debt · as at Q1 2027 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
6.25×

Net debt / EBITDA

Debt / equity
1.17×

Debt / equity

Annualised volatility
29%

Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself

Details›
Total debtQ1 2027
$6.74B
Cash and short-term investments
$43M
Net debt
$6.69B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$1.07B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$826M
Debt / equity
1.17×
Total debt / EBITDA
6.29×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
29%
Worst drawdown on file
−38%
Below its 52-week high
9.5%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.