REALThe RealReal, Inc.

$9.75-10% 1Y

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

1 good, 1 flagged, 1 to watch, 2 neutral, 1 without data
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality5 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$1.9M

Insiders were net sellers (-$1.9M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Drawdown risk83% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -96% · now 42% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 9% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 4% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can REAL take a bad year?

The deepest fall in REAL's price history on file is −96%; it is 42% below its high today.

-1.95

Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · distress zone, the model puts this in the bankruptcy range

Interest cover
none

Interest cover · no operating profit to pay the interest bill from

Annualised volatility
83%

Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing

Worst drawdown on file
−96%

Worst drawdown on file · −42% today

Details›
Cash and short-term investments
$119M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$26M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$5.8M
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
83%
Worst drawdown on file
−96%
Below its 52-week high
42%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

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