PRGSProgress Software Corporation

$39.34-6.2% 1Y

Is it safe?

Flag

Elevated bankruptcy risk: a balance sheet under strain, heavy debt (BB), and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.

2 good, 1 flagged, 2 to watch, 1 neutral
SurvivalDistress zone

Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality7 / 9

High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$624K

Insiders were net sellers (-$624K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · May 31, 2026

Moderately leveraged. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk47% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -64% · now 16% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Nov 30, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitymiddle of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can PRGS take a bad year?

Progress Software Corporation carries $1.19B of net debt at 4.77× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$1.19B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
4.77×

Net debt / EBITDA · 5.18× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
0.86

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Interest cover
2.66×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill, with room to spare

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$1.29B
Cash and short-term investments
$103M
Net debt
$1.19B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$249M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$174M
Debt / equity
2.55×
Total debt / EBITDA
5.18×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
47%
Worst drawdown on file
−64%
Below its 52-week high
16%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.