ODFLOld Dominion
Is the price fair?
A demanding price: priced for +15% a year vs −2% a year delivered, at the top of its own P/E range, and rich vs its sector.
Priced for ~15% a year FCF growth. The price already bakes in strong, sustained growth.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 35.0 vs a 28.2 median over 41 quarters (+24% vs median).
Sector median 23.3× across 246 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Unless marked, from derived, as of Jun 30, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What ODFL's price assumes
Old Dominion trades at 35.0× earnings against 51.7× for the median Trucking name, cheaper than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Trucking median 51.7 · cheaper than the typical name in its group
- Price / sales
- 8.21
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 2.4%
Free cash flow yield · Trucking median 4.9%
- Growth the price implies
- +15%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +15% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +20% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 10.1
- EV / EBITtoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 31.6
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 8.16
- Industrials median P/E440 names
- 26.5
- Trucking median P/E12 names
- 51.7
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $1.11B
- Market capitalisation
- $46.0B
- 3-year revenue growth
- −2.0%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- +20%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $117.34 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $146.61 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $174.01 |
| 52-week range | $125.70 – $248.73 |
| Today | $181.88 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.
Trucking
The closest names by size in the same industry