NPCENeuroPace, Inc.
Is it safe?
Caution warranted: heavy debt (CCC) and big price swings.
Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -95% · now 36% below its 52-week high.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can NPCE take a bad year?
The deepest fall in NPCE's price history on file is −95%; it is 36% below its high today.
Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · debt less the cash on hand, with no positive EBITDA to service it
- Cash runway
- 4.5 years
Cash runway · burning $2.9M a quarter at the current rate
- Annualised volatility
- 68%
Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing
- Worst drawdown on file
- −95%
Worst drawdown on file · −36% today
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $59M
- Cash and short-term investments
- $52M
- Net debt
- $7.3M
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- −$15M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$15M
- Debt / equity
- 4.97×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 68%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −95%
- Below its 52-week high
- 36%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.