MWAMueller Water Products, Inc.

$21.68-14% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: a safe balance sheet, clean books, and quality strong.

4 good, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality7 / 9

High fundamental quality Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$1.7M

Insiders were net sellers (-$1.7M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash and profitable. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk32% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -47% · now 28% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Sep 30, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 70% of the market
Max drawdownbetter than 82% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can MWA take a bad year?

Mueller Water Products, Inc. holds $42M more cash than debt, so a bad year is a question about profits, not about lenders.

$42M

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
4.55

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Debt / equity
0.40×

Debt / equity

Details›
Total debtQ3 2026
$453M
Cash and short-term investments
$495M
Net cash
$42M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$337M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$287M
Debt / equity
0.40×
Total debt / EBITDA
1.34×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
32%
Worst drawdown on file
−47%
Below its 52-week high
28%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.