MRNAModerna
Is it safe?
Mixed picture: a safe balance sheet and clean books, but quality weak and heavy debt (BB).
Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Insiders were net sellers (-$49.2M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -95% · now at/near its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can MRNA take a bad year?
Moderna holds $4.55B more cash than debt, and is burning $311M a quarter, about 4.1 years of cover.
Net cash
- Net debt / EBITDA
- net cash
Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings
- Altman Z-score
- 4.48
Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3
- Cash runway
- 4.1 years
Cash runway · burning $311M a quarter at the current rate
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $591M
- Cash and short-term investments
- $5.14B
- Net cash
- $4.55B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- −$3.09B
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$3.32B
- Debt / equity
- 0.09×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 150%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −95%
- Below its 52-week high
- 0.00%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
Biotechnology
The closest names by size in the same industry