MOVMovado Group, Inc.
Is the price fair?
Neither cheap nor expensive: modest expectations priced in, but well above its own median P/E.
Priced for a decline (~−4% a year). Little growth is priced in even as revenue fell 1% a year over three years, potential value, or a value trap.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 17.8 vs a 10.8 median over 34 quarters (+65% vs median).
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What MOV's price assumes
Movado Group, Inc. trades at 17.8× earnings against 14.1× for the median Luxury Goods name, more expensive than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Luxury Goods median 14.1 · 1.26× the median: the market pays up for this one
- Free cash flow yield
- 10%
Free cash flow yield · Luxury Goods median 7.0%
- Growth the price implies
- −3.7%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for −3.7% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered −3.8% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Consumer Cyclical median P/E321 names
- 17.9
- Luxury Goods median P/E7 names
- 14.1
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $71M
- Market capitalisation
- $711M
- 3-year revenue growth
- −0.61%
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- −3.8%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $12.61 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $19.43 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $31.84 |
| 52-week range | $16.56 – $39.76 |
| Today | $32.00 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.