HLTHilton Worldwide
Is the price fair?
A demanding price: priced for a lot of growth, at the top of its own P/E range, and rich vs its sector.
Priced for ~15% a year FCF growth. The price already bakes in strong, sustained growth.
Expensive vs its own history: P/E 47.9 vs a 35.3 median over 33 quarters (+36% vs median).
Sector median 16.2× across 156 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What HLT's price assumes
Hilton Worldwide trades at 47.9× earnings against 35.4× for the median Lodging name, more expensive than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Lodging median 35.4 · 1.35× the median: the market pays up for this one
- Price / sales
- 6.60
Price / sales · today's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
- Free cash flow yield
- 2.6%
Free cash flow yield · Lodging median 3.0%
- Growth the price implies
- +15%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +15% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; the business has delivered +3.2% a year over the last three.
Details›
- EV / EBITtoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
- 33.7
- EV / salestoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
- 7.55
- Consumer Cyclical median P/E321 names
- 17.8
- Lodging median P/E9 names
- 35.4
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $2.03B
- Market capitalisation
- $79.4B
- 3-year free cash flow growth
- +3.2%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| Its own P/E history, lower quartile | $190.95 |
| Its own P/E history, median | $240.69 |
| Its own P/E history, upper quartile | $313.24 |
| 52-week range | $256.36 – $350.22 |
| Today | $326.57 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.