HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.

$6.97-27% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: a safe balance sheet.

1 good, 3 neutral, 2 without data
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Insider conviction-$143

Insiders were net sellers (-$143, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAderived · Jun 27, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk40% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -51% · now 35% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 27, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitymiddle of the market
Max drawdownbetter than 75% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can HLMN take a bad year?

Hillman Solutions Corp. carries $658M of net debt at 2.90× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$658M

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business

Net debt / EBITDA
2.90×

Net debt / EBITDA · 3.34× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
1.78

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Debt / equity
0.57×

Debt / equity

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$693M
Cash and short-term investments
$36M
Net debt
$658M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$227M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$111M
Debt / equity
0.57×
Total debt / EBITDA
3.06×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
40%
Worst drawdown on file
−51%
Below its 52-week high
35%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.