FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.
Is it safe?
Solid, nothing alarming: a safe balance sheet, but big price swings.
Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -72% · now 66% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can FLY take a bad year?
The deepest fall in FLY's price history on file is −72%; it is 66% below its high today.
Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · safe zone, the balance sheet is not what threatens this one
- Annualised volatility
- 107%
Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing
- Worst drawdown on file
- −72%
Worst drawdown on file · −66% today
Details›
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 107%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −72%
- Below its 52-week high
- 66%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
Aerospace & Defense
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