ECEcopetrol S.A.

$16.94+100% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: comfortable debt (A) and typical volatility.

2 neutral, 4 without data
Credit gradeAderived · Dec 31, 2023

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk38% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -73% · now 7% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can EC take a bad year?

Ecopetrol S.A. carries $107.17T of net debt at 2.02× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$107.17T

Net debt · as at Q4 2023 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
2.02×

Net debt / EBITDA

Interest cover
4.54×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill, with room to spare

Annualised volatility
38%

Annualised volatility · roughly twice as jumpy as the market

Details›
Total debtQ4 2023
$121.37T
Cash and short-term investments
$14.20T
Net debt
$107.17T
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$53.11T
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$39.67T
Debt / equity
1.60×
Total debt / EBITDA
2.29×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
38%
Worst drawdown on file
−73%
Below its 52-week high
7.2%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.