DUOLDuolingo, Inc.

$149.79-49% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

Mixed picture: a safe balance sheet, but quality weak and big price swings.

1 good, 2 to watch, 2 neutral, 1 without data
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksGrey zone

In the flagged range only because sales grew fast; the other indices are not Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality3 / 9

Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$21.0M

Insiders were net sellers (-$21.0M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Drawdown risk63% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -83% · now 57% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 80% of the market
Max drawdownbehind 79% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can DUOL take a bad year?

The deepest fall in DUOL's price history on file is −83%; it is 57% below its high today.

6.68

Altman Z-score · distress below 1.8 · safe above 3 · safe zone, the balance sheet is not what threatens this one

Annualised volatility
63%

Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing

Worst drawdown on file
−83%

Worst drawdown on file · −57% today

Details›
Cash and short-term investments
$1.18B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$168M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$157M
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
63%
Worst drawdown on file
−83%
Below its 52-week high
57%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.