COPConocoPhillips

$134.10+47% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Solid, nothing alarming. No accounting flags, quality moderate.

2 good, 3 neutral, 1 without data
Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality5 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$3.3M

Insiders were net sellers (-$3.3M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Rock-solid balance sheet, low leverage. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk32% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -71% · now 5% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 69% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can COP take a bad year?

ConocoPhillips carries $15.6B of net debt at 0.38× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$15.6B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
0.38×

Net debt / EBITDA · 0.48× a year ago · the load is coming down

Interest cover
36.8×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Annualised volatility
32%

Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$23.3B
Cash and short-term investments
$7.69B
Net debt
$15.6B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$41.1B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$29.3B
Debt / equity
0.36×
Total debt / EBITDA
0.57×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
32%
Worst drawdown on file
−71%
Below its 52-week high
5.0%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.