CHDNChurchill Downs Incorporated

$79.97-16% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Solid, nothing alarming: heavy debt (BB).

1 to watch, 2 neutral, 3 without data
SurvivalGrey zoneSEC EDGAR · Dec 31, 2025

Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Moderately leveraged. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk33% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -63% · now 32% below its 52-week high.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 68% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can CHDN take a bad year?

Churchill Downs Incorporated carries $4.58B of net debt at 4.80× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$4.58B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
4.80×

Net debt / EBITDA · 5.16× a year ago · the load is coming down

Altman Z-score
1.38

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Interest cover
2.46×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill, with room to spare

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$4.77B
Cash and short-term investments
$196M
Net debt
$4.58B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$953M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$722M
Debt / equity
3.56×
Total debt / EBITDA
5.01×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
33%
Worst drawdown on file
−63%
Below its 52-week high
32%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.