CENXCentury Aluminum Company
Is the price fair?
The yardsticks disagree: cheap against its own 5-year P/E range (19th percentile) but the cash-flow math implies demanding growth. Treat as fair, not cheap.
Priced for ~11% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 5% a year, priced for acceleration.
Cheap vs its own history: P/E 6.3 vs a 15.9 median over 16 quarters (−60% vs median).
Sector median 18.9× across 51 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What CENX's price assumes
Century Aluminum Company trades at 6.35× earnings against 20.7× for the median Basic Materials name, cheaper than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Basic Materials median 20.7 · cheaper than the typical name in its group
- Price / sales
- 1.80
Price / sales · today's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
- Free cash flow yield
- 3.3%
Free cash flow yield · Basic Materials median 4.1%
- Growth the price implies
- +11%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +11% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; revenue has grown +5.1% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
- 5.65
- EV / EBITtoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
- 31.4
- EV / salestoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
- 1.96
- Basic Materials median P/E203 names
- 20.7
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $151M
- Market capitalisation
- $4.55B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +5.1%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| What its own history would imply | not meaningful, 6.35× today against a 15.9× median |
| 52-week range | $25.85 – $68.77 |
| Today | $36.76 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.