CENXCentury Aluminum Company

$36.76+33% 1Y

Is the price fair?

Fair

The yardsticks disagree: cheap against its own 5-year P/E range (19th percentile) but the cash-flow math implies demanding growth. Treat as fair, not cheap.

1 good, 2 to watch
What the price assumes~+11% a yearderived · Jun 30, 2026

Priced for ~11% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 5% a year, priced for acceleration.

Vs its own P/E rangecheaper than 81% of its own historyderived

Cheap vs its own history: P/E 6.3 vs a 15.9 median over 16 quarters (−60% vs median).

Vs sector (EV/EBIT)31.4×derived · Dec 31, 2025

Sector median 18.9× across 51 covered peers. EV/EBIT counts debt as part of the price, so a cash-rich and a borrowed company can be compared on the same footing.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

P/E (valuation)top 2% of the market
FCF yieldbehind 67% of the market

Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.

What CENX's price assumes

Century Aluminum Company trades at 6.35× earnings against 20.7× for the median Basic Materials name, cheaper than its own group.

6.35

Trailing P/E · Basic Materials median 20.7 · cheaper than the typical name in its group

Price / sales
1.80

Price / sales · today's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025

Free cash flow yield
3.3%

Free cash flow yield · Basic Materials median 4.1%

Growth the price implies
+11%

Growth the price implies · The price pays for +11% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; revenue has grown +5.1% a year over the last three.

Details›
Price / booktoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
5.65
EV / EBITtoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
31.4
EV / salestoday's price, fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025
1.96
Basic Materials median P/E203 names
20.7
Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
$151M
Market capitalisation
$4.55B
3-year revenue growth
+5.1%
CENX has re-rated away from its own history, so multiplying the old multiple by today's earnings prices a full reversal, not the business
MethodPer share
What its own history would implynot meaningful, 6.35× today against a 15.9× median
52-week range$25.85 – $68.77
Today$36.76

Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.