CAGConagra Brands

$13.49-23% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Forensics clean, with a caveat: clean books and insiders buying, but heavy debt (CCC).

2 good, 1 to watch, 3 neutral
SurvivalGrey zone

Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality5 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction+$511K

Insiders were net buyers (+$511K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.

Credit gradeCCCderived · May 31, 2026

Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk27% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -63% · now 31% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of May 25, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 83% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can CAG take a bad year?

The deepest fall in CAG's price history on file is −63%; it is 31% below its high today.

$7.05B

Net debt · as at Q4 2026 · debt less the cash on hand, with no positive EBITDA to service it

Altman Z-score
1.48

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Debt / equity
1.14×

Debt / equity

Annualised volatility
27%

Annualised volatility · about as steady as the market itself

Details›
Total debtQ4 2026
$7.26B
Cash and short-term investments
$218M
Net debt
$7.05B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$1.23B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$1.63B
Debt / equity
1.14×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
27%
Worst drawdown on file
−63%
Below its 52-week high
31%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.