AXTIAXT, Inc.

$68.47+1478% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

Mixed picture: a safe balance sheet and comfortable debt (AA), but quality weak and big price swings.

2 good, 2 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksGrey zone

Some accounting flags, worth a closer look Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality2 / 9

Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$561K

Insiders were net sellers (-$561K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeAAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash and profitable. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk132% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -92% · now 51% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 1% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 9% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can AXTI take a bad year?

AXT, Inc. holds $333M more cash than debt, and is burning $4.9M a quarter, about 21.3 years of cover.

$333M

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
20.02

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Cash runway
5+ years

Cash runway · burning $4.9M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$84M
Cash and short-term investments
$417M
Net cash
$333M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$13M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$3.9M
Debt / equity
0.10×
Total debt / EBITDA
6.26×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
132%
Worst drawdown on file
−92%
Below its 52-week high
51%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.