AVAVAeroVironment
Is it safe?
Mixed picture: a safe balance sheet, but quality weak and heavy debt (CCC).
Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
In the flagged range only because sales grew fast; the other indices are not Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Insiders were net sellers (-$221K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Debt against weak or negative operating profit. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -67% · now 67% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Apr 30, 2026.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can AVAV take a bad year?
The deepest fall in AVAV's price history on file is −67%; it is 67% below its high today.
Net debt · as at Q1 2027 · debt less the cash on hand, with no positive EBITDA to service it
- Altman Z-score
- 3.75
Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3
- Cash runway
- 5+ years
Cash runway · burning $6.3M a quarter at the current rate
- Annualised volatility
- 64%
Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing
Details›
- Total debtQ1 2027
- $730M
- Cash and short-term investments
- $580M
- Net debt
- $150M
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- −$22M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- −$253M
- Debt / equity
- 0.17×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 64%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −67%
- Below its 52-week high
- 67%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
Aerospace & Defense
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