ARDXArdelyx, Inc.

$3.28-47% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

Mixed picture: clean books, but quality weak and heavy debt (BB).

1 good, 3 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalGrey zone

Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksLow risk

Reported earnings show no manipulation flags Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality3 / 9

Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$697K

Insiders were net sellers (-$697K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk66% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -97% · now 59% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybehind 83% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 4% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can ARDX take a bad year?

Ardelyx, Inc. holds $30M more cash than debt, and is burning $4.5M a quarter, about 15.7 years of cover.

$30M

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
1.29

Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8

Cash runway
5+ years

Cash runway · burning $4.5M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$252M
Cash and short-term investments
$282M
Net cash
$30M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$32M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$35M
Debt / equity
1.69×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
66%
Worst drawdown on file
−97%
Below its 52-week high
59%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

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