AAONAAON, Inc.
Is it safe?
Accounting red flags: accounting red flags, quality weak, and big price swings. Everything else is secondary until this clears.
Several accounting flags in the manipulation-likely range Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Insiders were net buyers (+$110K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026). SEC Form 4 filings: officers and directors must report their own trades within two business days.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -50% · now 42% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can AAON take a bad year?
The deepest fall in AAON's price history on file is −50%; it is 42% below its high today.
Worst drawdown on file · −42% today
- Cash runway
- 0.0 years
Cash runway · burning $30M a quarter at the current rate
- Annualised volatility
- 60%
Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing
Details›
- Cash and short-term investments
- $13K
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $295M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $213M
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 60%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −50%
- Below its 52-week high
- 42%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.