AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.

$109.54+278% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

One accounting flag to check: a safe balance sheet, but an accounting pattern worth a look (common in fast growers) and heavy debt (BB).

1 good, 3 to watch, 2 neutral
SurvivalSafe zone

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Honest booksElevated risk

Several accounting flags in the manipulation-likely range Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).

Quality4 / 9

Mixed fundamental signals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.

Insider conviction-$7.4M

Insiders were net sellers (-$7.4M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · Jun 30, 2026

Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk139% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -98% · now 51% below its 52-week high.

Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybottom 1% of the market
Max drawdownbottom 2% of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can AAOI take a bad year?

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. holds $441M more cash than debt, and is burning $220M a quarter, about 0.6 years of cover.

$441M

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Altman Z-score
15.43

Altman Z-score · safe zone, above 3

Cash runway
0.6 years

Cash runway · burning $220M a quarter at the current rate

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$59M
Cash and short-term investments
$500M
Net cash
$441M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$32M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$67M
Debt / equity
0.04×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
139%
Worst drawdown on file
−98%
Below its 52-week high
51%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.

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