VSTVistra Corp.
Is it safe?
Solid, nothing alarming: big price swings.
Mixed, watch the balance sheet Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Insiders were net sellers (-$15.5M, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -53% · now 26% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can VST take a bad year?
Vistra Corp. carries $19.2B of net debt at 3.54× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.
Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · between two and four years of EBITDA, normal for a stable business
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.54×
Net debt / EBITDA · 2.86× a year ago · the load is going up
- Altman Z-score
- 1.41
Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8
- Interest cover
- 3.15×
Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill, with room to spare
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $19.6B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $435M
- Net debt
- $19.2B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $5.42B
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $3.56B
- Debt / equity
- 3.57×
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 3.62×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 61%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −53%
- Below its 52-week high
- 26%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
Utilities
Ranks #15 of 79 by RyuScore