PONYPony AI Inc.

$6.05-71% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

Caution warranted: heavy debt (BB) and big price swings.

2 to watch, 1 neutral, 3 without data
Insider conviction-$296KSEC EDGAR · Oct 8, 2026

Insiders were net sellers (-$296K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.

Credit gradeBBderived · Dec 31, 2025

Net cash, but unprofitable, speculative. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk112% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -82% · now 75% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can PONY take a bad year?

Pony AI Inc. holds $1.15B more cash than debt, and is burning $52M a quarter, about 5.6 years of cover.

$1.15B

Net cash

Net debt / EBITDA
net cash

Net debt / EBITDA · no net borrowings to measure against earnings

Cash runway
5+ years

Cash runway · burning $52M a quarter at the current rate

Annualised volatility
112%

Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing

Details›
Total debtFY2025
$13M
Cash and short-term investments
$1.17B
Net cash
$1.15B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
−$254M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$261M
Debt / equity
0.01×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
112%
Worst drawdown on file
−82%
Below its 52-week high
75%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.