AAAlcoa Corporation
Is the price fair?
The yardsticks disagree: cheap against its own 5-year P/E range (22nd percentile) but the cash-flow math implies demanding growth. Treat as fair, not cheap.
Priced for ~15% a year FCF growth. The price demands more than its three-year revenue growth of 8% a year, priced for acceleration.
Cheap vs its own history: P/E 8.8 vs a 18.0 median over 18 quarters (−51% vs median).
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. The growth-implied estimate assumes a fixed discount rate; capital-heavy sectors look structurally rich on it.
What AA's price assumes
Alcoa Corporation trades at 8.77× earnings against 20.7× for the median Basic Materials name, cheaper than its own group.
Trailing P/E · Basic Materials median 20.7 · cheaper than the typical name in its group
- Price / sales
- 1.03
Price / sales · today's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- Free cash flow yield
- 2.5%
Free cash flow yield · Basic Materials median 4.1%
- Growth the price implies
- +15%
Growth the price implies · The price pays for +15% free cash flow growth a year for a decade; revenue has grown +7.8% a year over the last three.
Details›
- Price / booktoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 1.90
- EV / salestoday's price, trailing year to Jun 30, 2026
- 1.09
- Basic Materials median P/E203 names
- 20.7
- Free cash flow, trailing twelve months
- $352M
- Market capitalisation
- $14.0B
- 3-year revenue growth
- +7.8%
| Method | Per share |
|---|---|
| What its own history would imply | not meaningful, 8.77× today against a 18.0× median |
| 52-week range | $31.05 – $83.79 |
| Today | $42.20 |
Multiples from SEC filings and end-of-day closes; implied growth from a reverse discounted cash flow. Group medians across the names Ryufin tracks.