VALNValneva SE

$5.72-48% 1Y

Is it safe?

Mixed

Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: comfortable debt (BBB) and big price swings.

1 to watch, 1 neutral, 4 without data
Credit gradeBBBderived · Dec 31, 2025

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk71% volderived · Oct 8, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -95% · now 52% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can VALN take a bad year?

The deepest fall in VALN's price history on file is −95%; it is 52% below its high today.

$70M

Net debt · as at Q4 2025 · debt less the cash on hand

Cash runway
1.9 years

Cash runway · burning $14M a quarter at the current rate

Annualised volatility
71%

Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing

Worst drawdown on file
−95%

Worst drawdown on file · −52% today

Details›
Total debtQ4 2025
$179M
Cash and short-term investments
$110M
Net debt
$70M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$82M
Debt / equity
1.69×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
71%
Worst drawdown on file
−95%
Below its 52-week high
52%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.