UPSUnited Parcel Service

$94.55+17% 1Y

Is it safe?

Good

Strong, no red flags: a safe balance sheet.

1 good, 2 neutral, 3 without data
SurvivalSafe zoneSEC EDGAR · Dec 31, 2025

Financially healthy, low distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.

Credit gradeAderived · Jun 30, 2026

Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk31% volderived · Oct 9, 2026

Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -58% · now 20% below its 52-week high.

Against the whole market›

Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.

Volatilitybetter than 73% of the market
Max drawdownmiddle of the market

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can UPS take a bad year?

United Parcel Service carries $19.8B of net debt at 1.90× EBITDA: a load its earnings can carry.

$19.8B

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · under two and a half years of EBITDA, comfortable

Net debt / EBITDA
1.90×

Net debt / EBITDA · 1.53× a year ago · the load is going up

Altman Z-score
2.95

Altman Z-score · grey zone, between 1.8 and 3

Interest cover
6.01×

Interest cover · operating profit covers the interest bill several times over

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$24.5B
Cash and short-term investments
$4.65B
Net debt
$19.8B
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$10.4B
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
$6.58B
Debt / equity
1.63×
Total debt / EBITDA
2.35×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
31%
Worst drawdown on file
−58%
Below its 52-week high
20%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.