OMCOmnicom Group
Is it safe?
Serious red flags: a balance sheet under strain, accounting red flags, and quality weak. Everything else is secondary until this clears.
Elevated financial-distress risk Altman Z-score, a bankruptcy-risk model from five balance-sheet ratios.
Several accounting flags in the manipulation-likely range Beneish M-score, a forensic model that detects earnings-manipulation patterns (receivables outrunning sales, margins slipping, accrual-heavy profit).
Weak, deteriorating fundamentals Piotroski F-score, nine pass/fail tests of year-over-year financial health across profitability, balance sheet and efficiency. 7 to 9 is strong, 0 to 3 weak.
Insiders were net sellers (-$123K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Investment-grade balance sheet. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -43% · now 14% below its 52-week high.
Unless marked, from SEC EDGAR, as of Dec 31, 2025.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can OMC take a bad year?
Omnicom Group carries $5.99B of net debt at 5.86× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.
Net debt · as at Q1 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.86×
Net debt / EBITDA · 1.12× a year ago · the load is going up
- Altman Z-score
- 0.89
Altman Z-score · distress zone, below 1.8
- Interest cover
- 1.97×
Interest cover · operating profit barely covers the interest bill
Details›
- Total debtQ1 2026
- $10.3B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $4.29B
- Net debt
- $5.99B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $1.02B
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $638M
- Debt / equity
- 1.09×
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 10.1×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 34%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −43%
- Below its 52-week high
- 14%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.
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