HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.
Is it safe?
Nothing alarming, nothing pristine: insiders quiet, heavy debt (B), and typical volatility.
Insiders were net sellers (-$970K, 90 days to Oct 8, 2026), selling is often routine.
Highly leveraged, watch solvency. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.
Moderate price swings, typical volatility. Worst drawdown -78% · now 37% below its 52-week high.
Against the whole market›
Percentile against every name Ryufin tracks. Higher is better; the tick marks the middle of the market. Context, not one of the checks above.
Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.
Can HGV take a bad year?
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. carries $4.60B of net debt at 5.68× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.
Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.68×
Net debt / EBITDA · 5.87× a year ago · the load is coming down
- Interest cover
- 1.75×
Interest cover · operating profit barely covers the interest bill
- Annualised volatility
- 41%
Annualised volatility · roughly twice as jumpy as the market
Details›
- Total debtQ2 2026
- $4.88B
- Cash and short-term investments
- $272M
- Net debt
- $4.60B
- EBITDA, trailing twelve months
- $811M
- Operating profit, trailing twelve months
- $522M
- Debt / equity
- 4.42×
- Total debt / EBITDA
- 6.01×
- Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
- 41%
- Worst drawdown on file
- −78%
- Below its 52-week high
- 37%
Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.