FOSLFossil Group, Inc.

$7.01+181% 1Y

Is it safe?

Watch

Caution warranted: heavy debt (BB) and big price swings.

2 to watch, 4 without data
Credit gradeBBderived · Jul 4, 2026

Moderately leveraged. A rule of thumb on leverage, not a credit rating.

Drawdown risk101% volderived · Oct 8, 2026

Large price swings, high volatility. Worst drawdown -98% · now 3% below its 52-week high.

Where this answer is blind. Altman sits structurally low for utilities and pipelines; Beneish runs high for fast growers, since sales growth alone lifts it; banks and REITs are excluded.

Can FOSL take a bad year?

Fossil Group, Inc. carries $124M of net debt at 24.2× EBITDA: a heavy load to carry through a bad year.

$124M

Net debt · as at Q2 2026 · over four years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation, heavy

Net debt / EBITDA
24.2×

Net debt / EBITDA

Cash runway
1.9 years

Cash runway · burning $10M a quarter at the current rate

Annualised volatility
101%

Annualised volatility · three times the market's own swing

Details›
Total debtQ2 2026
$203M
Cash and short-term investments
$79M
Net debt
$124M
EBITDA, trailing twelve months
$5.1M
Operating profit, trailing twelve months
−$5.6M
Debt / equity
2.26×
Total debt / EBITDA
39.7×
Annualised volatilitytwo years of daily moves
101%
Worst drawdown on file
−98%
Below its 52-week high
3.0%

Balance sheet from SEC filings; drawdown and volatility from end-of-day closes; Altman Z from the filed statements.